Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.019998 0.021618 0.023307 0.025201 0.027265 0.029450 0.031939
2025-09-28 0.017323 0.019645 0.022197 0.025213 0.028688 0.032575 0.037263
2025-10-05 0.015487 0.018197 0.021293 0.025101 0.029676 0.035014 0.041742
2025-10-12 0.014261 0.017245 0.020764 0.025236 0.030798 0.037519 0.046309
2025-10-19 0.013254 0.016425 0.020265 0.025287 0.031719 0.039733 0.050559
2025-10-26 0.012383 0.015680 0.019769 0.025250 0.032458 0.041690 0.054527
2025-11-02 0.011645 0.015033 0.019328 0.025216 0.033149 0.043567 0.058447
2025-11-09 0.010839 0.014238 0.018630 0.024774 0.033233 0.044597 0.061231
2025-11-16 0.010127 0.013516 0.017973 0.024327 0.033255 0.045505 0.063849
2025-11-23 0.009620 0.013036 0.017606 0.024239 0.033743 0.047054 0.067435
2025-11-30 0.009125 0.012542 0.017186 0.024041 0.034044 0.048327 0.070661
2025-12-07 0.008697 0.012116 0.016832 0.023908 0.034415 0.049698 0.074085
2025-12-14 0.008238 0.011637 0.016401 0.023668 0.034659 0.050960 0.077533
2025-12-21 0.007887 0.011298 0.016154 0.023688 0.035294 0.052850 0.082098
2025-12-28 0.007530 0.010929 0.015841 0.023585 0.035726 0.054440 0.086270
2026-01-04 0.007263 0.010680 0.015689 0.023711 0.036509 0.056607 0.091508
2026-01-11 0.006997 0.010416 0.015497 0.023758 0.037160 0.058585 0.096543
2026-01-18 0.006729 0.010135 0.015264 0.023724 0.037666 0.060345 0.101303
2026-01-25 0.006481 0.009872 0.015043 0.023692 0.038169 0.062113 0.106178
2026-02-01 0.006162 0.009482 0.014604 0.023279 0.038006 0.062738 0.109049
2026-02-08 0.005863 0.009110 0.014177 0.022862 0.037808 0.063284 0.111792
2026-02-15 0.005655 0.008876 0.013958 0.022780 0.038176 0.064823 0.116452
2026-02-22 0.005439 0.008617 0.013688 0.022595 0.038349 0.066019 0.120531